Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 14?
Yes won
Total volume
$20,234
Trades
515
Unique wallets
100
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-14
First seen
2026-10-11
last 10-14 15:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.8¢
(top1%: 38% YES on $15.1K
vs crowd: 37% YES on $16.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 29 | $6.0K | $9.8K | $3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $34 | $482 | $447 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $46 | $252 | $205 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $78 | $63 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 30 | $5.8K | $9.3K | $3.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 32 | $37 | $588 | $551 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $14 | $9 | +$6 |
| Median | 8 | $13 | $33 | $20 |
| Below median | 14 | $66 | $47 | +$19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $14 | $151 | $136 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $8 | $149 | $141 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $162 | $317 | $155 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +7,948 | $3,692 | $3,692 | 62 | 10-14 15:43 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +5,221 | $3,835 | $3,835 | 27 | 10-14 15:42 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | +1,045 | $479 | $479 | 11 | 10-14 15:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c0e…a5cc | No | +1,000 | $135 | $135 | 7 | 10-14 15:49 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | +929 | $926 | $926 | 3 | 10-14 15:58 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | +850 | $126 | $126 | 13 | 10-14 15:16 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +762 | $677 | $677 | 5 | 10-14 03:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | +733 | $75 | $75 | 13 | 10-14 13:58 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +569 | $56 | $56 | 3 | 10-14 08:57 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | +496 | $409 | $409 | 3 | 10-11 20:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +469 | $317 | $317 | 19 | 10-14 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | +453 | $379 | $379 | 17 | 10-14 15:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +434 | $107 | $107 | 14 | 10-14 15:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | No | +424 | $232 | $232 | 3 | 10-14 15:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | +358 | $118 | $118 | 4 | 10-14 15:32 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +285 | $63 | $601 | 16 | 10-14 15:56 |
| Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | +254 | $215 | $215 | 5 | 10-14 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +222 | $60 | $60 | 12 | 10-14 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x28ef…986b | No | +180 | $145 | $145 | 2 | 10-14 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +142 | $91 | $91 | 9 | 10-14 14:52 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +119 | $188 | $1,002 | 20 | 10-14 15:17 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +97 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 10-14 13:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | +76 | -$1,064 | $1,782 | 78 | 10-14 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +72 | $14 | $14 | 10 | 10-14 15:57 |
| Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | +70 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 10-14 13:32 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | +68 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-13 09:05 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | +61 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +50 | $40 | $40 | 5 | 10-14 15:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x403f…94f1 | No | +47 | $27 | $189 | 10 | 10-14 15:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x0680…4ba7 | No | +45 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 10-14 15:37 |
| Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | +42 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 15:53 |
| Useful-Cleric 0xf6f6…0e74 | No | +41 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 10-13 23:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0680…4ba7 | Yes | +40 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 10-14 15:29 |
| Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | +39 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf320…0472 | No | +36 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 10-12 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +32 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 10-14 13:32 |
| Shocking-Concentration 0xc602…d765 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 7 | 10-14 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x6250…f49a | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 10-14 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xcdc7…a0b6 | Yes | +27 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-14 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6250…f49a | Yes | +26 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 10-14 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6d1…bd47 | No | +24 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 10-14 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xc447…6623 | Yes | +23 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-14 13:48 |
| Shocking-Concentration 0xc602…d765 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 5 | 10-14 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x28ef…986b | Yes | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-14 15:22 |
| Slimy-Code 0x7a43…38f8 | No | +16 | $5 | $9 | 2 | 10-14 15:40 |
| Tender-Likelihood 0x77e7…88ad | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-14 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x88d8…7234 | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-13 18:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1880…95ed | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 05:44 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | +12 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-14 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xeff2…6e32 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-13 18:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-14 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-13 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xe81a…97ea | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 15:41 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-14 15:44 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-14 15:41 |
| Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-14 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe877…25c0 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-14 15:00 |
| Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-14 15:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x076e…e270 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $8 | 3 | 10-14 15:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 15:58:51 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1e678… |
| 10-14 15:58:51 | Tender-Likelihood 0x77e7…88ad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xf1e678… |
| 10-14 15:58:51 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1e678… |
| 10-14 15:58:24 | Portly-Wonder 0x0be2…3d21 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc96906… |
| 10-14 15:58:24 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc96906… |
| 10-14 15:57:12 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95aabe… |
| 10-14 15:57:12 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | BUY | 278 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x95aabe… |
| 10-14 15:57:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 288 | 100¢ | $287 | 0x95aabe… |
| 10-14 15:56:40 | (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x39195b… |
| 10-14 15:56:40 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 243 | 100¢ | $242 | 0x39195b… |
| 10-14 15:56:40 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 621 | 100¢ | $619 | 0x39195b… |
| 10-14 15:56:40 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x39195b… |
| 10-14 15:56:40 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x39195b… |
| 10-14 15:56:39 | (anonymous) 0xa6d1…bd47 | No | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe684b7… |
| 10-14 15:56:39 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe684b7… |
| 10-14 15:56:39 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe684b7… |
| 10-14 15:54:19 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x58f237… |
| 10-14 15:54:19 | (anonymous) 0x103c…87d0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x58f237… |
| 10-14 15:54:19 | (anonymous) 0x103c…87d0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x40fd23… |
| 10-14 15:54:19 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x40fd23… |
| 10-14 15:53:19 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa0b23d… |
| 10-14 15:53:19 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0x805616… |
| 10-14 15:53:19 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | BUY | 61 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x805616… |
| 10-14 15:53:19 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0xa0b23d… |
| 10-14 15:53:18 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | BUY | 39 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xafe871… |
| 10-14 15:53:18 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0xafe871… |
| 10-14 15:49:03 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xb97512… |
| 10-14 15:49:03 | (anonymous) 0x3c0e…a5cc | No | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb97512… |
| 10-14 15:46:30 | (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | No | BUY | 142 | 9¢ | $13 | 0xb3adfa… |
| 10-14 15:46:30 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 142 | 91¢ | $129 | 0xb3adfa… |
| 10-14 15:46:28 | (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | No | BUY | 43 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xcc64df… |
| 10-14 15:46:28 | (anonymous) 0x403f…94f1 | No | SELL | 43 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xcc64df… |
| 10-14 15:45:58 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x0a2b5e… |
| 10-14 15:45:58 | Rigid-Ego 0xb5b0…64f3 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 92¢ | $31 | 0x0a2b5e… |
| 10-14 15:45:58 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x0a2b5e… |
| 10-14 15:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x403f…94f1 | No | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x2016c1… |
| 10-14 15:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x2016c1… |
| 10-14 15:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x2016c1… |
| 10-14 15:44:24 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x5be310… |
| 10-14 15:44:24 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xe36ec0… |
| 10-14 15:44:24 | (anonymous) 0x3c0e…a5cc | No | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe36ec0… |
| 10-14 15:44:24 | (anonymous) 0x3c0e…a5cc | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5be310… |
| 10-14 15:43:30 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 490 | 92¢ | $451 | 0xd22543… |
| 10-14 15:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x3c0e…a5cc | No | BUY | 490 | 8¢ | $39 | 0xd22543… |
| 10-14 15:43:03 | (anonymous) 0x22b7…eebf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xd635de… |
| 10-14 15:43:03 | (anonymous) 0x3c0e…a5cc | No | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd635de… |
| 10-14 15:42:30 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2f941a… |
| 10-14 15:42:30 | (anonymous) 0x076e…e270 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x2f941a… |
| 10-14 15:41:49 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x28b6c4… |
| 10-14 15:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x403f…94f1 | No | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x28b6c4… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xaecf01… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | Whimsical-Stepson 0x4ecf…05fb | Yes | SELL | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x1d6c2b… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x1b53…e3fd | No | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x7914c0… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | Whimsical-Stepson 0x4ecf…05fb | Yes | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xaecf01… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | (anonymous) 0xe81a…97ea | No | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x989a2a… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x1d6c2b… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x989a2a… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 87¢ | $52 | 0x7914c0… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | (anonymous) 0xc652…8387 | No | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x989a2a… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x403f…94f1 | No | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x7914c0… |
| 10-14 15:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x3a44…6881 | No | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x989a2a… |
| 10-14 15:41:40 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x5da3a3… |
| 10-14 15:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x5da3a3… |
| 10-14 15:41:40 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x5da3a3… |
| 10-14 15:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x076e…e270 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0x801df1… |
| 10-14 15:41:04 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0x801df1… |
| 10-14 15:40:58 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xa4aab7… |
| 10-14 15:40:58 | Slimy-Code 0x7a43…38f8 | No | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xa4aab7… |
| 10-14 15:40:58 | (anonymous) 0x779d…267c | No | BUY | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xa4aab7… |
| 10-14 15:40:57 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xf4b20e… |
| 10-14 15:40:57 | Slimy-Code 0x7a43…38f8 | No | BUY | 26 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xf4b20e… |
| 10-14 15:40:57 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xf4b20e… |
| 10-14 15:40:57 | (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xf4b20e… |
| 10-14 15:40:57 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xf4b20e… |
| 10-14 15:39:58 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x257b39… |
| 10-14 15:39:58 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x257b39… |
| 10-14 15:39:57 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x771167… |
| 10-14 15:39:57 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x771167… |
| 10-14 15:39:57 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 73¢ | $0 | 0x771167… |
| 10-14 15:39:00 | (anonymous) 0x076e…e270 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0x5f4292… |
| 10-14 15:39:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x5f4292… |
| 10-14 15:38:03 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 510 | 81¢ | $413 | 0xea41bf… |
| 10-14 15:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | No | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xea41bf… |
| 10-14 15:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xea41bf… |
| 10-14 15:38:03 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x9c6768… |
| 10-14 15:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x3c0e…a5cc | No | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x9c6768… |
| 10-14 15:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x3c0e…a5cc | No | BUY | 490 | 19¢ | $93 | 0xea41bf… |
| 10-14 15:37:09 | (anonymous) 0x5d3d…8105 | No | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xc71b5f… |
| 10-14 15:37:09 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xc71b5f… |
| 10-14 15:37:09 | Unlawful-Adulthood 0xe087…bc81 | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xc71b5f… |
| 10-14 15:37:09 | (anonymous) 0xb0da…15b9 | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xc71b5f… |
| 10-14 15:37:09 | (anonymous) 0x0680…4ba7 | No | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xc71b5f… |
| 10-14 15:37:09 | (anonymous) 0xd892…f028 | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xc71b5f… |
| 10-14 15:37:09 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 78¢ | $54 | 0xc71b5f… |
| 10-14 15:37:09 | Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xc71b5f… |
| 10-14 15:37:09 | (anonymous) 0x06ad…6b2f | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xc71b5f… |
| 10-14 15:35:15 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xe72d9f… |
| 10-14 15:35:15 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xe72d9f… |
| 10-14 15:32:42 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 222 | 67¢ | $149 | 0x6760f0… |
| 10-14 15:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 222 | 33¢ | $73 | 0x6760f0… |