Realized P&L (90d)
+$133
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
17
Trades (90d)
80
406 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$17.1K
$83.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$205
Open exposure
$15.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 08:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Crypto
56% 91% -$761
Politics
26% 80% +$116
Other
17% 67% +$23
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +2,906 $2,800 99¢ $2.9K +$72 09-25 07:58
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -1,057 -$993 96¢ $-1017 -$24 10-28 08:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +916 $880 99¢ $905 +$25 07-08 14:08
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +828 $800 96¢ $796 -$4 09-12 08:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +731 $700 99¢ $722 +$22 07-08 14:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -735 -$611 97¢ $-714 -$103 05-23 11:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -702 -$667 98¢ $-686 -$19 09-09 07:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -706 -$664 96¢ $-679 -$15 09-15 08:10
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -683 -$662 97¢ $-662 $0 09-15 08:10
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +623 $600 98¢ $607 +$7 10-20 08:41
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? No +613 $600 99¢ $605 +$5 10-20 08:43
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +532 $500 97¢ $516 +$16 09-15 08:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$450 96¢ $-482 -$32 09-12 08:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -357 -$343 98¢ $-350 -$7 09-12 08:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +339 $300 93¢ $316 +$16 09-22 08:47
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +326 $300 95¢ $310 +$10 09-15 09:26
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +316 $300 98¢ $310 +$10 08-25 11:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +318 $300 97¢ $309 +$9 09-15 08:17
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +313 $300 98¢ $308 +$8 08-25 11:28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +313 $300 98¢ $308 +$8 07-04 08:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +312 $300 98¢ $306 +$6 10-14 08:14
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +309 $300 98¢ $302 +$2 09-15 09:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +316 $300 96¢ $302 +$2 10-14 08:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -156 -$92 88¢ $-138 -$46 05-08 23:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -154 -$123 88¢ $-135 -$12 09-15 08:09
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +126 $120 97¢ $121 +$1 10-26 01:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +123 $100 92¢ $114 +$14 07-17 23:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +109 $100 98¢ $106 +$6 07-19 23:26
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 97¢ $106 +$6 09-06 09:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +106 $100 100¢ $106 +$6 06-02 12:40