Realized P&L
-$622
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
88.8%
Resolved
191
Trades
408
lifetime
Volume
$83.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$204
Open exposure
$15.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 22:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Crypto
56% 91% -$761
Politics
25% 80% +$116
Other
17% 67% +$23
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +2,906 $2,800 99¢ $2.9K +$78 09-25 07:58
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -1,057 -$993 95¢ $-1008 -$15 10-28 08:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +916 $880 99¢ $907 +$27 07-08 14:08
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +828 $800 97¢ $805 +$5 09-12 08:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +731 $700 99¢ $722 +$22 07-08 14:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -735 -$611 98¢ $-719 -$108 05-23 11:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -702 -$667 98¢ $-689 -$22 09-09 07:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -706 -$664 97¢ $-682 -$18 09-15 08:10
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -683 -$662 97¢ $-663 -$2 09-15 08:10
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +623 $600 98¢ $610 +$10 10-20 08:41
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? No +613 $600 99¢ $607 +$7 10-20 08:43
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +532 $500 98¢ $520 +$20 09-15 08:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$450 95¢ $-476 -$26 09-12 08:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -357 -$343 98¢ $-350 -$7 09-12 08:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +339 $300 95¢ $321 +$21 09-22 08:47
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +331 $300 96¢ $316 +$16 09-15 09:26
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +316 $300 98¢ $311 +$11 08-25 11:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +318 $300 97¢ $310 +$10 09-15 08:17
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +313 $300 99¢ $309 +$9 08-25 11:28
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +326 $300 95¢ $309 +$9 09-15 09:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +313 $300 99¢ $308 +$8 07-04 08:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +312 $300 99¢ $307 +$7 10-14 08:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +316 $300 97¢ $306 +$6 10-14 08:12
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +309 $300 98¢ $304 +$4 09-15 09:24
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -156 -$92 90¢ $-140 -$48 05-08 23:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -154 -$123 88¢ $-136 -$13 09-15 08:09
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +126 $120 96¢ $120 +$0 10-26 01:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +123 $100 92¢ $114 +$14 07-17 23:12
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 98¢ $107 +$7 09-06 09:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +109 $100 98¢ $107 +$7 07-19 23:26