Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$164
$258 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$2,425
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 13:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | — | $134 | $134 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 4 | — | $104 | $104 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immense-Fang 0x1e1f…9fd6 | No | +68 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 05-13 04:38 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 12:00 |
| Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 9 | 05-13 06:06 |
| Filthy-Endoderm 0xdeee…8e02 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 02:45 |
| Exalted-Tap 0x500c…6d46 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 07:19 |
| Internal-Quadrant 0xfa39…e9bb | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 07:19 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:34:25 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9e62a1… |
| 05-14 12:00:45 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd070e0… |
| 05-14 07:19:13 | Internal-Quadrant 0xfa39…e9bb | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdec2c8… |
| 05-14 07:19:02 | Exalted-Tap 0x500c…6d46 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa5eab3… |
| 05-14 02:45:36 | Filthy-Endoderm 0xdeee…8e02 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x5518a2… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29853c… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e71d4… |
| 05-13 11:08:09 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x653266… |
| 05-13 06:34:08 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x871dd3… |
| 05-13 06:06:17 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x77ef0a… |
| 05-13 05:56:16 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x69ad04… |
| 05-13 05:36:16 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xc534a5… |
| 05-13 05:26:16 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xb8a6d8… |
| 05-13 05:16:15 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xd85691… |
| 05-13 05:08:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4424f… |
| 05-13 05:06:17 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x7c0ab8… |
| 05-13 04:46:16 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xa8b7fb… |
| 05-13 04:38:24 | Immense-Fang 0x1e1f…9fd6 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xe5cf29… |
| 05-13 04:38:10 | Immense-Fang 0x1e1f…9fd6 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf11b49… |
| 05-13 04:37:51 | Immense-Fang 0x1e1f…9fd6 | No | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $47 | 0x058e12… |
| 05-13 04:36:16 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x91db43… |
| 05-13 04:26:14 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xb0d525… |