Will the Democratic Party win the LA-03 House seat?
open
Total volume
$4,310
$15 in 24h
Trades
125
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$44,218
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-04-30
last 11-01 02:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.8¢
(top1%: 15% YES on $218
vs crowd: 14% YES on $3.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $297 | $2.3K | $2.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $155 | — | +$155 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $82 | $955 | $873 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $32 | $186 | $154 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 5 | $268 | $2.0K | $1.7K |
| Below median | 2 | $55 | $5 | +$50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $152 | $128 | +$25 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $945 | $945 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +2,207 | $142 | $142 | 13 | 06-24 23:29 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +2,102 | $1,970 | $2,054 | 4 | 06-19 17:25 |
| Yellow-Speculation 0x9514…136f | No | +1,050 | $945 | $945 | 1 | 05-11 18:25 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +710 | $29 | $29 | 7 | 07-17 00:24 |
| Stiff-Nightgown 0x7aed…df39 | Yes | +270 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-22 02:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +190 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 11-01 02:29 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +137 | $131 | $131 | 3 | 10-31 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | +95 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-27 10:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 10:40 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-09 00:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:29:52 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x509f22… |
| 11-01 02:29:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x509f22… |
| 11-01 01:57:43 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x129ef1… |
| 11-01 01:57:43 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x129ef1… |
| 10-31 02:03:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x08c2f7… |
| 10-31 02:03:33 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x08c2f7… |
| 10-29 07:05:50 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x59ef94… |
| 10-29 07:05:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x59ef94… |
| 07-27 10:36:16 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x17cc62… |
| 07-27 10:36:16 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x17cc62… |
| 07-22 02:21:58 | Stiff-Nightgown 0x7aed…df39 | Yes | BUY | 270 | 3¢ | $7 | 0xc82d7f… |
| 07-22 02:21:58 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 270 | 3¢ | $7 | 0xc82d7f… |
| 07-18 08:31:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x70f547… |
| 07-18 08:31:06 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x70f547… |
| 07-17 00:24:37 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x839e75… |
| 07-17 00:24:37 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x839e75… |
| 07-14 01:22:44 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x86eef1… |
| 07-14 01:22:44 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x86eef1… |
| 07-10 11:57:01 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xcf542a… |
| 07-10 11:57:01 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xcf542a… |
| 07-10 11:55:44 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1b7ebb… |
| 07-10 11:55:44 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1b7ebb… |
| 07-09 00:35:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x85b6ce… |
| 07-09 00:35:46 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x85b6ce… |
| 07-09 00:35:46 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x85b6ce… |
| 07-09 00:35:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x85b6ce… |
| 07-08 03:03:44 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x8118e3… |
| 07-08 03:03:44 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x8118e3… |
| 07-07 08:55:25 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x71a17d… |
| 07-07 08:55:25 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x71a17d… |
| 06-30 17:22:56 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x570f63… |
| 06-30 17:22:56 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x570f63… |
| 06-29 03:50:22 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc3395e… |
| 06-29 03:50:22 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc3395e… |
| 06-29 03:50:22 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc3395e… |
| 06-29 03:50:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc3395e… |
| 06-24 23:29:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x858cfc… |
| 06-24 23:29:37 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x858cfc… |
| 06-21 23:06:43 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 118 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x88cb75… |
| 06-21 23:06:43 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x88cb75… |
| 06-21 23:06:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x496a7e… |
| 06-21 23:06:28 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x496a7e… |
| 06-19 17:25:58 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 500 | 95¢ | $475 | 0xef2441… |
| 06-19 17:25:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 243 | 5¢ | $12 | 0xef2441… |
| 06-19 17:25:58 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xef2441… |
| 06-19 17:25:58 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xef2441… |
| 06-19 17:25:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 102 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xef2441… |
| 06-19 17:25:58 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 5¢ | $50 | 0xef2441… |
| 06-19 17:25:58 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xef2441… |
| 06-18 10:40:20 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x2246b7… |
| 06-18 10:40:20 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x2246b7… |
| 06-18 07:08:43 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 572 | 4¢ | $23 | 0x62ba7d… |
| 06-18 07:08:43 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 572 | 4¢ | $23 | 0x62ba7d… |
| 06-18 05:17:37 | Impolite-Carrier 0x2100…8b83 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x9404a6… |
| 06-18 05:17:37 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x9404a6… |
| 06-18 05:11:59 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x9f0398… |
| 06-18 05:11:59 | Dreary-Preoccupation 0x4857…b0a3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x9f0398… |
| 06-18 03:07:55 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 273 | 4¢ | $11 | 0xe883f4… |
| 06-18 03:07:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 273 | 4¢ | $11 | 0xe883f4… |
| 06-18 03:07:49 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 273 | 6¢ | $16 | 0xdadfd4… |
| 06-18 03:07:49 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | BUY | 522 | 6¢ | $31 | 0xdadfd4… |
| 06-18 03:07:49 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xdadfd4… |
| 06-18 03:07:49 | Impolite-Carrier 0x2100…8b83 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xdadfd4… |
| 06-18 03:07:49 | Dreary-Preoccupation 0x4857…b0a3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xdadfd4… |
| 06-18 03:07:49 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 1,265 | 94¢ | $1,185 | 0xdadfd4… |
| 06-18 03:07:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xdadfd4… |
| 06-18 03:07:49 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 169 | 7¢ | $12 | 0xdadfd4… |
| 05-16 05:30:34 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 125 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x25541c… |
| 05-16 05:30:34 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x25541c… |
| 05-13 19:23:14 | Impolite-Carrier 0x2100…8b83 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 7¢ | $14 | 0x5ab11d… |
| 05-13 19:23:14 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 7¢ | $14 | 0x5ab11d… |
| 05-12 20:33:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x6df84f… |
| 05-12 20:33:37 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x6df84f… |
| 05-12 20:33:37 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x6df84f… |
| 05-12 20:33:37 | Past-Connotation 0x4e0d…d518 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x6df84f… |
| 05-12 18:29:40 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 82 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xe40843… |
| 05-12 18:29:40 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xe40843… |
| 05-12 18:29:38 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x365ef2… |
| 05-12 18:29:38 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 382 | 92¢ | $351 | 0x365ef2… |
| 05-12 18:29:38 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x365ef2… |
| 05-12 18:29:38 | Past-Connotation 0x4e0d…d518 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x365ef2… |
| 05-12 12:30:16 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2da6fa… |
| 05-12 12:30:16 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2da6fa… |
| 05-12 11:56:05 | Past-Connotation 0x4e0d…d518 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x35207f… |
| 05-12 11:56:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x35207f… |
| 05-12 11:56:05 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 198 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x35207f… |
| 05-12 06:59:28 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 36 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xf825bd… |
| 05-12 06:59:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 36 | 92¢ | $34 | 0xf825bd… |
| 05-11 19:02:05 | Dreary-Preoccupation 0x4857…b0a3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5819c2… |
| 05-11 19:02:05 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5819c2… |
| 05-11 18:57:02 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 36 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xf21d0c… |
| 05-11 18:57:02 | Dreary-Preoccupation 0x4857…b0a3 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 8¢ | $11 | 0xf21d0c… |
| 05-11 18:57:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0xf21d0c… |
| 05-11 18:37:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x654f03… |
| 05-11 18:37:57 | Dreary-Preoccupation 0x4857…b0a3 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 9¢ | $12 | 0x654f03… |
| 05-11 18:37:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x654f03… |
| 05-11 18:37:57 | Digital-Tape 0x6ae8…b90a | Yes | SELL | 200 | 9¢ | $18 | 0x654f03… |
| 05-11 18:37:57 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x654f03… |
| 05-11 18:31:55 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0xb44ade… |
| 05-11 18:31:55 | Impolite-Carrier 0x2100…8b83 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0xb44ade… |