Will Ariana Grande perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
open
Total volume
$5,175
Trades
161
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$1
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-07-19
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-08 00:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $3.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $47 | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $22 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $47 | $206 | $159 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $16 | — | +$16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $2 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $3 | $49 | $45 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $9 | $130 | $121 |
| Median | 1 | — | $98 | $98 |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | $122 | $118 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $73 | $219 | $146 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $11 | $334 | $323 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $10 | $758 | $749 |
| unranked | 10 | $19 | $708 | $690 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +984 | $958 | $958 | 5 | 07-03 12:37 |
| Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | +745 | $18 | $48 | 11 | 07-06 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xe962…742c | Yes | +455 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-05 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +300 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 06-30 12:02 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +257 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-24 13:19 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +257 | $255 | $875 | 6 | 07-05 22:33 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +160 | $4 | $5 | 7 | 07-07 22:54 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +149 | $141 | $245 | 7 | 07-07 23:24 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 07-05 21:03 |
| Grave-Atelier 0x34cb…7588 | Yes | +70 | $2 | $5 | 6 | 07-07 22:54 |
| Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 06-22 08:02 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +51 | $1 | $4 | 4 | 07-07 22:54 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 13:10 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +45 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-30 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | +44 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-25 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | No | +44 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 06-25 19:41 |
| Miserable-Coyote-Yellowjacket 0x6700…acfe | Yes | +37 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-07 23:24 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +36 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 07-04 23:01 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-24 16:33 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 06-24 16:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-04 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb01…7dfb | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-08 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xa515…0093 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | +10 | $-0 | $4 | 3 | 06-08 08:44 |
| Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 08:44 |
| Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 18:34 |
| Wiry-Walkway 0xa76b…8a50 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-22 08:02 |
| Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-22 08:02 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-22 08:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 00:37:22 | (anonymous) 0xcb01…7dfb | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xb4a023… |
| 07-08 00:37:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xb4a023… |
| 07-08 00:01:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x7031f5… |
| 07-08 00:01:34 | Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7031f5… |
| 07-07 23:24:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xeb44d8… |
| 07-07 23:24:34 | Miserable-Coyote-Yellowjacket 0x6700…acfe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb71fe9… |
| 07-07 23:24:34 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xb71fe9… |
| 07-07 23:24:34 | Miserable-Coyote-Yellowjacket 0x6700…acfe | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xeb44d8… |
| 07-07 22:54:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x45f8a4… |
| 07-07 22:54:07 | Grave-Atelier 0x34cb…7588 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x45f8a4… |
| 07-07 22:54:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x513119… |
| 07-07 22:54:04 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x513119… |
| 07-07 22:54:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x654c29… |
| 07-07 22:54:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x654c29… |
| 07-07 22:54:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x654c29… |
| 07-07 22:54:01 | Grave-Atelier 0x34cb…7588 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x654c29… |
| 07-07 22:54:01 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 141 | 97¢ | $137 | 0x654c29… |
| 07-06 11:41:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x750ad1… |
| 07-06 11:41:07 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x750ad1… |
| 07-06 11:39:25 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc2d979… |
| 07-06 11:39:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc2d979… |
| 07-06 01:56:16 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xd00b59… |
| 07-06 01:56:16 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd00b59… |
| 07-05 23:28:22 | Grave-Atelier 0x34cb…7588 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb1213f… |
| 07-05 23:28:22 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb1213f… |
| 07-05 23:28:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xb1213f… |
| 07-05 22:58:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x544b6f… |
| 07-05 22:58:07 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x544b6f… |
| 07-05 22:33:43 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 115 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x9d3903… |
| 07-05 22:33:43 | Grave-Atelier 0x34cb…7588 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9d3903… |
| 07-05 22:33:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 145 | 97¢ | $141 | 0x9d3903… |
| 07-05 21:32:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5c572e… |
| 07-05 21:32:05 | Grave-Atelier 0x34cb…7588 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5c572e… |
| 07-05 21:32:05 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x5c572e… |
| 07-05 21:03:56 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x0608c0… |
| 07-05 21:03:56 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 73 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x0608c0… |
| 07-05 21:03:56 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x0608c0… |
| 07-05 21:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 380 | 98¢ | $371 | 0x0608c0… |
| 07-05 21:03:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 157 | 98¢ | $153 | 0x0608c0… |
| 07-05 21:03:56 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x0608c0… |
| 07-05 21:03:40 | (anonymous) 0xe962…742c | Yes | BUY | 455 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xf8ff94… |
| 07-05 21:03:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 380 | 98¢ | $371 | 0xf8ff94… |
| 07-05 21:03:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf8ff94… |
| 07-05 21:03:40 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xf8ff94… |
| 07-04 23:01:37 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x9395f9… |
| 07-04 23:01:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9395f9… |
| 07-03 12:37:13 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 76 | 98¢ | $74 | 0xb0486b… |
| 07-03 12:37:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb0486b… |
| 07-03 12:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb0486b… |
| 07-03 12:37:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6e1ef0… |
| 07-03 12:37:02 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x6e1ef0… |
| 07-01 01:37:10 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xae20fe… |
| 07-01 01:37:10 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xae20fe… |
| 07-01 01:37:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xae20fe… |
| 06-30 16:33:50 | Grave-Atelier 0x34cb…7588 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x44f903… |
| 06-30 16:33:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x44f903… |
| 06-30 16:33:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x44f903… |
| 06-30 16:03:05 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa2c274… |
| 06-30 16:03:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa2c274… |
| 06-30 16:02:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2cd755… |
| 06-30 16:02:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2cd755… |
| 06-30 16:02:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2cd755… |
| 06-30 16:02:25 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 110 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x2cd755… |
| 06-30 12:02:11 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x782dd7… |
| 06-30 12:02:11 | (anonymous) 0x7d64…f001 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x782dd7… |
| 06-30 12:02:05 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd3653b… |
| 06-30 12:02:05 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xd3653b… |
| 06-30 12:02:05 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 699 | 3¢ | $21 | 0xd3653b… |
| 06-30 12:02:05 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | BUY | 1,237 | 3¢ | $33 | 0xd3653b… |
| 06-30 12:02:05 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd3653b… |
| 06-30 12:02:05 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xd3653b… |
| 06-30 12:02:05 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 300 | 98¢ | $294 | 0xd3653b… |
| 06-30 05:38:46 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xa98f8c… |
| 06-30 05:38:46 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa98f8c… |
| 06-26 14:40:14 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4672ae… |
| 06-26 14:40:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4672ae… |
| 06-26 01:32:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1e6a6d… |
| 06-26 01:32:10 | Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1e6a6d… |
| 06-25 19:41:05 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 153 | 98¢ | $151 | 0xa7978e… |
| 06-25 19:41:05 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 153 | 98¢ | $151 | 0xa7978e… |
| 06-25 19:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd43a37… |
| 06-25 19:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0xd43a37… |
| 06-25 19:41:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 69 | 98¢ | $67 | 0xd43a37… |
| 06-25 19:40:50 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 314 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x6cd419… |
| 06-25 19:40:50 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 222 | 98¢ | $219 | 0x6cd419… |
| 06-25 19:40:50 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6cd419… |
| 06-25 19:40:50 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x6cd419… |
| 06-25 12:56:59 | (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x90114a… |
| 06-25 12:56:59 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x90114a… |
| 06-25 12:56:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x90114a… |
| 06-24 16:34:07 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 80 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x787e46… |
| 06-24 16:34:07 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x787e46… |
| 06-24 16:34:04 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd2d486… |
| 06-24 16:34:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd2d486… |
| 06-24 16:33:37 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x588bed… |
| 06-24 16:33:37 | (anonymous) 0xa515…0093 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x588bed… |
| 06-24 16:33:37 | (anonymous) 0x7d64…f001 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x588bed… |
| 06-24 16:33:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x588bed… |
| 06-24 16:33:35 | (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | BUY | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa5f697… |
| 06-24 16:33:35 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa5f697… |