Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?
open
Total volume
$3,086
Trades
480
Unique wallets
112
Liquidity
$6,832
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-04-12
First seen
2026-03-24
last 04-27 08:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $123
vs crowd: 5% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $13 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $12 | $632 | $621 |
| 🐟 Fish | 28 | $32 | $139 | $107 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $69 | $53 | +$16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | — | $123 | $123 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $17 | $572 | $555 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $8 | $162 | $154 |
| Median | 15 | $1 | $69 | $68 |
| Below median | 15 | $10 | $63 | $53 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $4 | $95 | $91 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $20 | $229 | $208 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | — | $976 | $976 |
| unranked | 21 | $66 | $53 | +$14 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8cc9…d07e | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-14 09:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1eb7…08a3 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-13 23:29 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +592 | $587 | $587 | 7 | 04-12 17:35 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +500 | $0 | $0 | 9 | 04-11 21:51 |
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | +490 | $0 | $0 | 17 | 04-22 07:39 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +345 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 04-09 14:32 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +322 | $320 | $320 | 4 | 04-14 09:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +247 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 04-11 16:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x0061…8fd6 | Yes | +200 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 04-11 22:27 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +187 | $0 | $0 | 18 | 04-15 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbf9…7f7f | Yes | +183 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-11 22:52 |
| Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | +169 | $-3 | $5 | 42 | 04-13 05:23 |
| Vast-Spreadsheet 0x65a5…f5b7 | Yes | +154 | $-14 | $19 | 16 | 04-13 01:05 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +125 | $125 | $125 | 3 | 04-11 22:27 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +120 | $117 | $117 | 7 | 04-12 23:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +113 | $12 | $12 | 12 | 04-14 09:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 04-09 10:54 |
| Steep-Hydrofoil 0x73b8…f6b5 | Yes | +82 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 03-24 16:38 |
| Youthful-Shower 0x0603…8f62 | Yes | +81 | $0 | $0 | 8 | 04-13 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xddc2…f0da | Yes | +77 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 04-12 13:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +77 | $71 | $71 | 7 | 04-12 23:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bf1…a317 | Yes | +71 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-11 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x153c…e5d0 | Yes | +67 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 04-11 22:52 |
| Complex-Execution 0x77cb…c0bb | Yes | +62 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 03-29 01:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x987a…8f56 | Yes | +62 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-12 20:25 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 04-11 22:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +52 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 04-04 02:04 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 04-11 22:27 |
| Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | +49 | $41 | $41 | 3 | 04-11 21:32 |
| Youthful-Shower 0x0603…8f62 | No | +48 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 04-11 22:12 |
| Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 04-11 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 04-01 04:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1703…0fa2 | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-13 02:29 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +32 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 04-11 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x5562…3b41 | No | +32 | $28 | $28 | 6 | 03-24 16:48 |
| Bite-Sized-Clerk 0x39fd…849e | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 4 | 03-26 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xa208…2e1b | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 03-27 07:25 |
| Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-11 16:30 |
| Grimy-Ocean 0xebc0…fa41 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 03-29 01:09 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +24 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 04-11 15:47 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 03-27 04:29 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 03-24 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5686…690a | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 5 | 03-27 07:25 |
| Sturdy-Accessory 0x5904…940f | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 04-12 02:05 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 04-09 10:54 |
| Another-Down 0xb6c8…892e | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 03-26 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4cf…78c4 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 03-29 01:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5a1…3840 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-10 18:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 03-27 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x791f…c41d | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-12 23:04 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +15 | $2 | $3 | 4 | 04-05 22:37 |
| Apt-Zebra 0x7954…48dc | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 04-09 14:32 |
| Little-Drummer 0xa42a…cb8e | No | +13 | $13 | $28 | 2 | 03-24 16:48 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 04-11 21:53 |
| Mountainous-Elongation 0x5fe5…8b99 | No | +10 | $9 | $48 | 5 | 04-11 22:52 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 03-24 16:38 |
| Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 04-12 13:11 |
| Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 03-24 13:22 |
| Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 03-26 22:45 |
| Soggy-Unemployment 0x2711…d5ec | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-11 22:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:04:34 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa45783… |
| 04-27 08:04:34 | Handy-Ruffle 0x3dca…3c13 | No | SELL | 323 | 100¢ | $322 | 0xa45783… |
| 04-22 07:39:28 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x414fd0… |
| 04-22 07:39:28 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x37c6fb… |
| 04-22 07:39:28 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x414fd0… |
| 04-22 07:39:28 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x37c6fb… |
| 04-21 10:59:18 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x18a39e… |
| 04-21 10:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x611e…b025 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x18a39e… |
| 04-21 10:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xec4e…4e9e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x892e25… |
| 04-21 10:53:16 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x892e25… |
| 04-21 10:47:34 | (anonymous) 0x8f70…a2d1 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6650b2… |
| 04-21 10:47:34 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6650b2… |
| 04-20 09:06:02 | (anonymous) 0x8f81…b938 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0d1628… |
| 04-20 09:06:02 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d1628… |
| 04-20 09:05:42 | (anonymous) 0x2e7e…1a20 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x481bfa… |
| 04-20 09:05:42 | (anonymous) 0xd9f4…4977 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf4ea8a… |
| 04-20 09:05:42 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4ea8a… |
| 04-20 09:05:42 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x481bfa… |
| 04-20 07:16:32 | (anonymous) 0x1eef…9f3a | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0c10f2… |
| 04-20 07:16:32 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c10f2… |
| 04-20 07:15:52 | (anonymous) 0x2038…8307 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x079571… |
| 04-20 07:15:52 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8d406… |
| 04-20 07:15:52 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x079571… |
| 04-20 07:15:52 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…0176 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa8d406… |
| 04-17 10:18:08 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb17bf0… |
| 04-17 10:18:08 | Super-Arena 0x28ab…2048 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb17bf0… |
| 04-16 21:20:06 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70481f… |
| 04-16 21:20:06 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70481f… |
| 04-16 21:20:06 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70481f… |
| 04-16 21:20:00 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x264f0c… |
| 04-16 21:20:00 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x264f0c… |
| 04-16 21:19:52 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6923cc… |
| 04-16 21:19:52 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc0f21… |
| 04-16 21:19:52 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6923cc… |
| 04-16 21:19:52 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc0f21… |
| 04-15 23:00:22 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a399e… |
| 04-15 23:00:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a399e… |
| 04-15 22:40:32 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf92ce4… |
| 04-15 22:40:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf92ce4… |
| 04-15 22:40:22 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39e332… |
| 04-15 22:40:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39e332… |
| 04-15 22:40:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38495e… |
| 04-15 22:40:10 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38495e… |
| 04-15 22:39:58 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa2b40b… |
| 04-15 22:39:58 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa2b40b… |
| 04-15 22:35:50 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b0b98… |
| 04-15 22:35:50 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b0b98… |
| 04-15 13:25:14 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2821e2… |
| 04-15 13:25:14 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2821e2… |
| 04-15 13:22:50 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e8b84… |
| 04-15 13:22:50 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7a50e5… |
| 04-15 13:22:50 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e8b84… |
| 04-15 13:22:50 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7a50e5… |
| 04-15 13:22:24 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c98ed… |
| 04-15 13:22:24 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c98ed… |
| 04-15 08:04:06 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd4dab… |
| 04-15 08:04:06 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd4dab… |
| 04-15 05:43:06 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf82ae… |
| 04-15 05:43:06 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf82ae… |
| 04-15 05:43:06 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf82ae… |
| 04-15 04:43:48 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a9fd3… |
| 04-15 04:43:48 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a9fd3… |
| 04-14 09:48:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb7dd25… |
| 04-14 09:48:07 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb7dd25… |
| 04-14 09:47:55 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96f465… |
| 04-14 09:47:55 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96f465… |
| 04-14 09:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x8cc9…d07e | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x96f465… |
| 04-14 09:47:55 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96f465… |
| 04-14 09:47:55 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96f465… |
| 04-14 09:47:55 | YourAnimeGirl 0xad70…4ccf | Yes | SELL | 210 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96f465… |
| 04-14 09:47:55 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 267 | 100¢ | $267 | 0x96f465… |
| 04-14 08:16:21 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5c1f8… |
| 04-14 08:16:21 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5c1f8… |
| 04-14 08:10:03 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd15e7… |
| 04-14 08:10:03 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa07fe7… |
| 04-14 08:10:03 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd15e7… |
| 04-14 08:10:03 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 65 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa07fe7… |
| 04-14 08:09:57 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc01ad… |
| 04-14 08:09:57 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5604a… |
| 04-14 08:09:57 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5604a… |
| 04-14 08:09:57 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc01ad… |
| 04-14 08:07:01 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6caf72… |
| 04-14 08:07:01 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6caf72… |
| 04-14 08:05:43 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa799d4… |
| 04-14 08:05:43 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa799d4… |
| 04-14 08:04:05 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f3b1d… |
| 04-14 08:04:05 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f3b1d… |
| 04-13 23:29:05 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 165 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa59e85… |
| 04-13 23:29:05 | (anonymous) 0x1eb7…08a3 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa59e85… |
| 04-13 18:02:57 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x696fe2… |
| 04-13 18:02:57 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x696fe2… |
| 04-13 10:22:45 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fc9a0… |
| 04-13 10:22:45 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x6fc9a0… |
| 04-13 05:23:29 | YourAnimeGirl 0xad70…4ccf | Yes | BUY | 64 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa166c9… |
| 04-13 05:23:29 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa166c9… |
| 04-13 05:23:19 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x710a2a… |
| 04-13 05:23:19 | YourAnimeGirl 0xad70…4ccf | Yes | BUY | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x710a2a… |
| 04-13 04:56:17 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdac403… |
| 04-13 04:56:17 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf13000… |
| 04-13 04:56:17 | (anonymous) 0xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf13000… |