Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 25%-30%?
open
Total volume
$673
Trades
145
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$11,817
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-28
last 10-25 13:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.8¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $338
vs crowd: 11% YES on $609)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $14 | $452 | $438 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $45 | $56 | $11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $2 | $31 | $29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 18 | $9 | $329 | $319 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $2 | $140 | $138 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 4 | $24 | $5 | +$19 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $4 | $56 | $52 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 11 | $17 | $14 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | +300 | $24 | $24 | 18 | 09-13 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +149 | $140 | $140 | 8 | 10-22 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-25 12:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 8 | 10-25 13:37 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +93 | $87 | $87 | 5 | 09-13 20:57 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +82 | $76 | $76 | 5 | 10-18 00:33 |
| Sparkling-Something 0xc41b…75ae | Yes | +73 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 09-14 14:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 09-04 18:20 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +34 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-20 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 09-12 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb444…8582 | No | +32 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-22 22:43 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-16 18:57 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-19 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-19 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-12 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-19 11:40 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 10-20 16:49 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 08-30 02:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 09-13 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-13 20:47 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-04 18:20 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-13 20:57 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 09-12 00:17 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 09-12 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc34f…a984 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-24 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-19 11:40 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-18 00:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-17 17:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 13:37:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe39351… |
| 10-25 13:37:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe39351… |
| 10-25 12:57:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6d69fd… |
| 10-25 12:57:33 | (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6d69fd… |
| 10-25 12:57:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6d69fd… |
| 10-25 12:57:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6d69fd… |
| 10-25 12:57:33 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x6d69fd… |
| 10-22 22:43:26 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xc9d5b8… |
| 10-22 22:43:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a2c0a… |
| 10-22 22:43:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc9d5b8… |
| 10-22 22:43:26 | (anonymous) 0xb444…8582 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x9a2c0a… |
| 10-20 16:49:30 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0614b5… |
| 10-20 16:49:30 | (anonymous) 0xb444…8582 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x0614b5… |
| 10-20 16:49:30 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xbc56fc… |
| 10-20 16:49:30 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc56fc… |
| 10-20 16:49:29 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2ef77e… |
| 10-20 16:49:29 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2ef77e… |
| 10-19 11:47:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x78c760… |
| 10-19 11:47:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x78c760… |
| 10-19 11:40:39 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdbb10a… |
| 10-19 11:40:39 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdbb10a… |
| 10-19 11:40:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf9dffc… |
| 10-19 11:40:38 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbaa577… |
| 10-19 11:40:38 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbaa577… |
| 10-19 11:40:38 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf9dffc… |
| 10-19 11:40:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd4478e… |
| 10-19 11:40:30 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd4478e… |
| 10-19 11:40:23 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xde38ca… |
| 10-19 11:40:23 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xa03606… |
| 10-19 11:40:23 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xde38ca… |
| 10-19 11:40:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xde38ca… |
| 10-19 11:40:23 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa03606… |
| 10-19 11:40:23 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xde38ca… |
| 10-19 11:40:23 | Antique-Calcification 0xc3de…e227 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xde38ca… |
| 10-19 11:40:23 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa03606… |
| 10-18 00:33:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1a573c… |
| 10-18 00:33:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3670c3… |
| 10-18 00:33:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x043092… |
| 10-18 00:33:50 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x043092… |
| 10-18 00:33:50 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1a573c… |
| 10-18 00:33:50 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x3670c3… |
| 10-16 18:57:38 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x640926… |
| 10-16 18:57:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x640926… |
| 10-16 16:52:43 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe3dfd6… |
| 10-16 16:52:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe3dfd6… |
| 10-10 06:51:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5b99a3… |
| 10-10 06:51:40 | Antique-Calcification 0xc3de…e227 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5b99a3… |
| 10-10 06:50:57 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x94847c… |
| 10-10 06:50:57 | Antique-Calcification 0xc3de…e227 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x94847c… |
| 10-10 06:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x94847c… |
| 10-10 06:50:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x94847c… |
| 10-10 06:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x4d15…78db | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x94847c… |
| 09-29 05:22:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x82a8a9… |
| 09-29 05:22:39 | (anonymous) 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x82a8a9… |
| 09-24 14:03:50 | (anonymous) 0x4d15…78db | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbb63cd… |
| 09-24 14:03:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbb63cd… |
| 09-24 14:03:50 | (anonymous) 0xc34f…a984 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0147ce… |
| 09-24 14:03:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0147ce… |
| 09-24 14:03:50 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xbb63cd… |
| 09-24 14:03:49 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x142391… |
| 09-24 14:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x4d15…78db | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x142391… |
| 09-21 23:57:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x72ca6c… |
| 09-21 23:57:16 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x72ca6c… |
| 09-18 15:31:45 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9373d… |
| 09-18 15:31:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9373d… |
| 09-17 17:18:40 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeec204… |
| 09-17 17:18:40 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeec204… |
| 09-14 14:07:57 | Sparkling-Something 0xc41b…75ae | Yes | BUY | 34 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd3cafb… |
| 09-14 14:07:57 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd3cafb… |
| 09-14 14:07:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd3cafb… |
| 09-14 13:42:45 | Sparkling-Something 0xc41b…75ae | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8d28e9… |
| 09-14 13:42:45 | (anonymous) 0x4d15…78db | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8d28e9… |
| 09-14 13:42:45 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8d28e9… |
| 09-14 13:42:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8d28e9… |
| 09-14 11:51:48 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa88c4c… |
| 09-14 11:51:48 | (anonymous) 0x01a4…076e | No | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xa88c4c… |
| 09-14 11:51:48 | (anonymous) 0x637e…8cea | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa88c4c… |
| 09-14 11:51:48 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa88c4c… |
| 09-13 20:57:22 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2e5ad… |
| 09-13 20:57:22 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd2e5ad… |
| 09-13 20:57:22 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x781912… |
| 09-13 20:57:22 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x781912… |
| 09-13 20:57:22 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x781912… |
| 09-13 20:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x637e…8cea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd76091… |
| 09-13 20:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd76091… |
| 09-13 20:47:12 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd76091… |
| 09-13 20:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd76091… |
| 09-13 20:37:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x275cb3… |
| 09-13 20:37:07 | (anonymous) 0x4d15…78db | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x275cb3… |
| 09-13 20:37:07 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x275cb3… |
| 09-13 20:31:01 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 52 | 93¢ | $49 | 0xac0e3f… |
| 09-13 20:31:01 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4e270a… |
| 09-13 20:31:01 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x4e270a… |
| 09-13 20:31:01 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xac0e3f… |
| 09-13 20:31:01 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4e270a… |
| 09-13 20:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x27f483… |
| 09-13 20:31:01 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x27f483… |
| 09-13 20:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 54 | 93¢ | $51 | 0x4e270a… |
| 09-13 20:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | BUY | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xac0e3f… |
| 09-13 13:35:36 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfb992b… |