Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
closed
Total volume
$48,713
Trades
961
Unique wallets
175
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-01-01
last 02-01 16:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+49.2¢
(top1%: 72% YES on $4.1K
vs crowd: 22% YES on $34.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 37 | $2.4K | $18.6K | $16.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 33 | $4.1K | $8.0K | $3.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 30 | $589 | $38 | +$551 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 75 | $583 | $32 | +$551 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $2.9K | $1.2K | +$1.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $602 | $13.7K | $13.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $96 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| Median | 18 | $295 | $83 | +$212 |
| Below median | 28 | $254 | $260 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $36 | $613 | $577 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $533 | $310 | +$223 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $1.1K | $2.4K | $1.3K |
| unranked | 62 | $1.9K | $5.5K | $3.6K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe13f…4244 | Yes | +49,985 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 02-01 16:29 |
| Tattered-Columnist 0x8457…87fd | No | +10,224 | $10,213 | $10,213 | 2 | 02-01 16:29 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +3,978 | $-1 | $215 | 24 | 01-31 05:36 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +2,744 | $6 | $9 | 13 | 02-01 12:40 |
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | +2,464 | $1,668 | $1,668 | 49 | 01-31 21:29 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +1,955 | $1,800 | $1,800 | 6 | 01-31 17:42 |
| Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | +1,803 | $1,800 | $1,800 | 16 | 02-01 12:45 |
| Tame-Hill 0x0c93…a00b | No | +1,417 | $1,416 | $9,624 | 9 | 02-01 05:26 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +1,385 | $881 | $887 | 39 | 01-31 08:31 |
| Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | No | +1,345 | $779 | $782 | 5 | 01-31 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x1732…795b | Yes | +937 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 01-31 00:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +902 | $460 | $460 | 25 | 01-31 05:14 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +807 | $541 | $541 | 27 | 01-31 05:01 |
| Perky-Bellows 0xf4a4…3117 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-01 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c03…604e | Yes | +484 | $79 | $79 | 12 | 01-30 16:33 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +466 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 02-01 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dbc…8e01 | Yes | +402 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 02-01 12:45 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | +381 | $138 | $199 | 5 | 01-30 05:16 |
| Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | +329 | $219 | $336 | 26 | 01-30 19:00 |
| Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | +249 | $15 | $526 | 21 | 02-01 10:31 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | No | +242 | $142 | $142 | 4 | 01-30 04:34 |
| Exemplary-Strength 0x1d0d…9b6e | Yes | +223 | $14 | $150 | 8 | 01-31 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x795d…63e7 | Yes | +200 | $116 | $116 | 1 | 01-03 10:41 |
| Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | +184 | $65 | $65 | 13 | 01-30 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8adb…e1fd | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-01 12:10 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +163 | $104 | $104 | 9 | 01-30 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x00c7…c2b2 | Yes | +156 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 01-05 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe23…937b | Yes | +156 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 01-12 01:21 |
| Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | +151 | $114 | $114 | 8 | 01-30 20:52 |
| Graceful-Street 0x7b2c…8062 | Yes | +133 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-01 07:45 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +126 | $108 | $108 | 2 | 01-30 16:34 |
| Scientific-Provision 0x5b13…fbd1 | Yes | +123 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 01-30 19:00 |
| Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 03:29 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x090a…01b4 | No | +88 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 01-24 19:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe069…3c17 | No | +87 | $57 | $57 | 9 | 01-30 05:42 |
| Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | +86 | $-0 | $2 | 8 | 02-01 12:40 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +85 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 01-23 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf613…af5e | Yes | +84 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe8a…76e4 | Yes | +82 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 15:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xac40…b71f | Yes | +82 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 17:42 |
| Impossible-Architecture 0xa3ad…6866 | No | +75 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 01-30 16:34 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +74 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 01-26 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbd1…2265 | Yes | +70 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-31 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xca9f…6cba | Yes | +68 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 15:28 |
| Grimy-Ocean 0xebc0…fa41 | No | +65 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 01-31 00:01 |
| Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | No | +60 | $36 | $36 | 5 | 01-31 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4cf…78c4 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 01-31 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0027…020b | No | +26 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 01-05 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xc092…5428 | No | +26 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 01-29 21:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x77b5…9170 | No | +25 | $17 | $273 | 17 | 01-31 03:29 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +20 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 01-24 19:08 |
| Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 01-26 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1237…f312 | No | +16 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 01-30 05:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-01 16:29:46 | Tattered-Columnist 0x8457…87fd | No | BUY | 9,997 | 100¢ | $9,987 | 0xb45167… |
| 02-01 16:29:46 | (anonymous) 0xe13f…4244 | Yes | BUY | 49,985 | 0¢ | $50 | 0xb45167… |
| 02-01 15:01:04 | Woeful-Strap 0x5d05…6320 | No | SELL | 227 | 100¢ | $226 | 0x7055ea… |
| 02-01 15:01:04 | Tattered-Columnist 0x8457…87fd | No | BUY | 227 | 100¢ | $226 | 0x7055ea… |
| 02-01 14:04:14 | Perky-Bellows 0xf4a4…3117 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd10dea… |
| 02-01 14:04:14 | (anonymous) 0x634b…6de2 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd10dea… |
| 02-01 12:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x0dbc…8e01 | Yes | BUY | 235 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2723a8… |
| 02-01 12:45:40 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x2723a8… |
| 02-01 12:45:40 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2723a8… |
| 02-01 12:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x5081…a309 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2723a8… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 76 | 100¢ | $76 | 0x83f30a… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92ba11… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0xe137ed… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 123 | 100¢ | $123 | 0x8114b5… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x6f0ae7… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x446e1e… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x92ba11… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | (anonymous) 0x453a…fdb8 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8114b5… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x446e1e… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8114b5… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | (anonymous) 0x634b…6de2 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x446e1e… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | (anonymous) 0x634b…6de2 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x83f30a… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f0ae7… |
| 02-01 12:40:48 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe137ed… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x44a72d… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0xd0ad67… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0xf01c7c… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x199de2… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d0994… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x111bc5… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x199de2… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x1d0994… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b72f4… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x205637… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x634b…6de2 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd0ad67… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x634b…6de2 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x44a72d… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x111bc5… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x634b…6de2 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x98d5fa… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x205637… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf01c7c… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x98d5fa… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x5b72f4… |
| 02-01 12:40:46 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x111bc5… |
| 02-01 12:33:18 | (anonymous) 0x0dbc…8e01 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4a2d53… |
| 02-01 12:33:18 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4a2d53… |
| 02-01 12:10:00 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd83bf1… |
| 02-01 12:10:00 | (anonymous) 0x8adb…e1fd | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd83bf1… |
| 02-01 12:10:00 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd83bf1… |
| 02-01 11:36:18 | (anonymous) 0x9c0a…ad49 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd76b33… |
| 02-01 11:36:18 | (anonymous) 0x453a…fdb8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd76b33… |
| 02-01 10:31:32 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x885616… |
| 02-01 10:31:32 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | SELL | 113 | 99¢ | $112 | 0x885616… |
| 02-01 10:31:32 | Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x885616… |
| 02-01 10:25:38 | (anonymous) 0x453a…fdb8 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce48d3… |
| 02-01 10:25:38 | Chubby-Robin 0xdf6c…80aa | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce48d3… |
| 02-01 10:05:46 | (anonymous) 0x453a…fdb8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xebdce8… |
| 02-01 10:05:46 | (anonymous) 0xce1d…81db | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xebdce8… |
| 02-01 08:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x453a…fdb8 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde7abf… |
| 02-01 08:19:38 | Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | SELL | 70 | 100¢ | $69 | 0xde7abf… |
| 02-01 08:19:38 | (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xde7abf… |
| 02-01 08:19:38 | Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde7abf… |
| 02-01 08:19:38 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xde7abf… |
| 02-01 08:19:38 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 1,873 | 0¢ | $6 | 0xde7abf… |
| 02-01 08:19:38 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 2,458 | 0¢ | $8 | 0xde7abf… |
| 02-01 07:45:30 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0819c0… |
| 02-01 07:45:30 | (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x0819c0… |
| 02-01 07:45:30 | Graceful-Street 0x7b2c…8062 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0819c0… |
| 02-01 07:45:30 | Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x0819c0… |
| 02-01 07:45:30 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0819c0… |
| 02-01 05:26:40 | Tame-Hill 0x0c93…a00b | No | BUY | 143 | 100¢ | $143 | 0x13cef0… |
| 02-01 05:26:40 | (anonymous) 0x3b1a…4221 | No | SELL | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x13cef0… |
| 02-01 05:26:40 | Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13cef0… |
| 02-01 01:35:32 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5cbb6e… |
| 02-01 01:35:32 | (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x5cbb6e… |
| 02-01 01:35:32 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5cbb6e… |
| 02-01 01:35:32 | Woeful-Strap 0x5d05…6320 | No | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x5cbb6e… |
| 02-01 01:35:32 | (anonymous) 0x1c26…6e31 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x5cbb6e… |
| 01-31 21:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x763c8e… |
| 01-31 21:34:22 | (anonymous) 0xf613…af5e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x763c8e… |
| 01-31 21:34:22 | Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x763c8e… |
| 01-31 21:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c1fc4… |
| 01-31 21:29:08 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x4c1fc4… |
| 01-31 17:42:28 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7de674… |
| 01-31 17:42:28 | (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x7de674… |
| 01-31 17:42:28 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | BUY | 37 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x7de674… |
| 01-31 17:42:28 | (anonymous) 0xac40…b71f | Yes | BUY | 82 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7de674… |
| 01-31 17:34:14 | Tame-Hill 0x0c93…a00b | No | SELL | 699 | 100¢ | $698 | 0x6346ae… |
| 01-31 17:34:14 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | BUY | 699 | 100¢ | $698 | 0x6346ae… |
| 01-31 17:11:24 | (anonymous) 0x8280…8159 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ffba2… |
| 01-31 17:11:24 | Tame-Hill 0x0c93…a00b | No | SELL | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0x3ffba2… |
| 01-31 16:35:42 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 481 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x04ba49… |
| 01-31 16:35:42 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04ba49… |
| 01-31 16:35:42 | Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | No | SELL | 66 | 100¢ | $66 | 0x04ba49… |
| 01-31 16:35:42 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04ba49… |
| 01-31 16:35:42 | (anonymous) 0xfbf2…887d | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04ba49… |
| 01-31 16:35:42 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04ba49… |
| 01-31 16:35:42 | (anonymous) 0x5081…a309 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04ba49… |
| 01-31 16:33:58 | Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52fe44… |
| 01-31 16:33:58 | (anonymous) 0x2efa…b8a9 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x52fe44… |
| 01-31 16:33:58 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 134 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x52fe44… |