Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$1,580

Trades

178

Unique wallets

85

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-05-25

First seen

2026-05-21

last 05-25 15:44

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Evil-Row +223 Bogus-Curry +200 Perfect-Neighbourhood +118 Periodic-Underwriting +110 Gigantic-Predecessor +100 Cool-Storyboard +100 Genuine-Tribe +100 Slushy-Sleepiness +64

NO holders

Accomplished-Sewer +172 Fussy-Expedition +122 Nonstop-Soot +105 Sentimental-Luck +105 Worldly-Threat +57 Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat +55 Masculine-Confidence +48 Comfortable-Sandwich +38

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +0.0¢ (top1%: 2% YES on $613 vs crowd: 2% YES on $1.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	25	$2	$578	$576
🐬 Dolphin	21	$9	$330	$321
🐟 Fish	22	$7	$416	$409
🦐 Shrimp	17	$3	$24	$20

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	31	$10	$603	$594
🏆 Top 5%	10	$1	$297	$296
✅ Top 10%	10	$0	$57	$57
Median	7	$0	$203	$203
Below median	13	$3	$84	$81
⚠️ Bottom 10%	2	—	$17	$17
🔻 Bottom 5%	4	$8	—	+$8
💀 Bottom 1%	8	—	$86	$86

Wallet leaderboard (59) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	Yes	+223	$2	$2	3	05-24 00:48
Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5	Yes	+200	$2	$2	4	05-24 18:04
Accomplished-Sewer 0x8dec…46e0	No	+172	$172	$172	2	05-25 02:56
Fussy-Expedition 0x594e…1c11	No	+122	$120	$120	1	05-22 06:39
Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f	Yes	+118	$6	$6	3	05-21 22:49
Periodic-Underwriting 0x1134…e391	Yes	+110	$1	$1	1	05-24 09:42
Nonstop-Soot 0x9ede…9e87	No	+105	$104	$104	3	05-24 17:42
Sentimental-Luck 0x7a41…2562	No	+105	$104	$104	2	05-24 17:32
Gigantic-Predecessor 0xf56c…ad84	Yes	+100	$0	$0	4	05-24 20:59
Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6	Yes	+100	$0	$0	5	05-24 19:51
Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44	Yes	+100	-$1	$2	26	05-24 18:55
Slushy-Sleepiness 0xcf90…62b9	Yes	+64	$1	$1	1	05-24 17:32
Worldly-Threat 0x4342…7090	No	+57	$57	$57	1	05-24 20:18
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27	No	+55	$55	$55	2	05-24 20:46
Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389	Yes	+50	$0	$0	7	05-24 19:38
Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2	No	+48	$48	$48	1	05-23 07:50
Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02	No	+38	$38	$38	1	05-24 19:38
Curly-Note 0x5c58…82a1	Yes	+33	$0	$0	8	05-23 07:50
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad	No	+30	$30	$30	1	05-24 19:51
Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d	No	+30	$30	$30	1	05-24 19:36
Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27	No	+30	$30	$30	1	05-24 17:25
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e	No	+30	$30	$30	1	05-24 20:46
Fortunate-Punishment 0xe681…19f8	No	+27	$27	$27	1	05-24 19:39
Quixotic-Hub 0x8cdd…c3df	No	+26	$26	$26	1	05-24 17:56
Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb	No	+20	$20	$20	3	05-24 19:36
Afraid-Popularity 0x3887…9496	Yes	+20	$5	$5	1	05-21 23:27
Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee	No	+19	$19	$19	1	05-24 19:53
(anonymous) 0x9895…3870	Yes	+14	$0	$0	2	05-24 19:53
Impressive-Preparation 0x9ffa…864c	No	+14	$14	$14	3	05-24 19:38
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	No	+14	$14	$14	1	05-24 17:15
Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921	Yes	+13	$0	$0	1	05-24 20:18
(anonymous) 0xf450…9e45	Yes	+13	$0	$0	1	05-24 20:18
(anonymous) 0xdd70…1d06	No	+12	$12	$12	1	05-22 06:39
(anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223	Yes	+12	$0	$0	2	05-24 20:18
Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863	Yes	+11	$0	$0	1	05-24 20:18
Vicious-Mover 0x564a…8871	No	+11	$10	$10	1	05-23 06:03
Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b	Yes	+10	$0	$0	1	05-21 22:55
Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512	No	+10	$10	$10	2	05-24 19:51
Athletic-Singer 0x8d2e…770b	No	+10	$10	$10	1	05-24 17:32
Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d	No	+10	$10	$10	2	05-24 18:55
(anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e	Yes	+8	$0	$0	1	05-23 05:27
Slim-Duckling 0x3193…cc5a	No	+7	$7	$7	1	05-22 06:40
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	No	+7	$7	$7	1	05-24 17:25
Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6	No	+7	$7	$7	1	05-25 15:44
(anonymous) 0xf257…4fe1	No	+7	$7	$7	1	05-22 06:39
International-Rhythm 0x0b2f…fe3f	No	+6	$6	$6	1	05-22 06:44
Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362	Yes	+6	$0	$0	1	05-24 14:40
Fast-Host 0xb733…6cc4	Yes	+6	$0	$0	2	05-23 05:27
Cheery-Radiator 0x5462…72da	Yes	+6	$2	$2	2	05-22 02:13
(anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	05-22 15:25
Grizzled-Taco 0xd0cb…e91a	No	+5	$5	$5	1	05-22 15:25
Somber-Size 0xcae0…9f81	No	+5	$5	$5	1	05-22 20:53
Fortunate-Punishment 0xe681…19f8	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	05-24 11:31
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	05-22 06:39
Dreary-Chopstick 0x29ab…6c4d	Yes	+5	$0	$0	2	05-24 18:55
Loving-Pusher 0xb457…9944	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	05-24 11:50
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	Yes	+5	$0	$0	2	05-22 06:39
Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298	Yes	+5	$0	$0	2	05-22 06:39
Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273	Yes	+3	$0	$0	1	05-22 02:25