Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 30% or more?
open
Total volume
$2,319
$99 in 24h
Trades
182
Unique wallets
57
Liquidity
$13,756
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-28
last 10-28 15:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.2¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $530
vs crowd: 10% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 24 | $132 | $509 | $377 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $18 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $38 | $141 | $103 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $0 | $5 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 21 | $41 | $489 | $449 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $12 | $12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $18 | $18 |
| Median | 4 | — | $786 | $786 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $13 | $13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $17 | $89 | $72 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $13 | $46 | $34 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $118 | $272 | $155 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | +801 | $678 | $844 | 6 | 09-24 20:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +468 | $69 | $69 | 7 | 10-26 17:26 |
| Joyous-Catalyst 0xcaff…e3ad | Yes | +430 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 09-18 17:54 |
| Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | +233 | $17 | $17 | 9 | 09-25 14:42 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +200 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 09-17 00:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +98 | $95 | $95 | 5 | 10-11 13:54 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +93 | $92 | $92 | 5 | 10-23 12:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +80 | $70 | $70 | 3 | 09-07 20:05 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +55 | $52 | $52 | 4 | 09-24 20:36 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +50 | $0 | $5 | 4 | 10-28 15:45 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-23 12:03 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +40 | $37 | $55 | 2 | 10-28 15:45 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 10-11 13:53 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 09-24 20:36 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 09-17 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | +33 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 09-06 08:07 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 10-27 07:17 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-21 01:39 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-06 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7821…9855 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 09-17 22:20 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 09-07 01:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x21ef…91fd | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 09-02 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 09-17 03:52 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-27 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-17 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $9 | 3 | 09-18 18:16 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 09-03 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 09-07 00:48 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-17 02:27 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-21 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x8461…94d7 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 09-03 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2490…4ecf | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-17 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 09-19 15:28 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 09-03 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xc34f…a984 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-24 20:36 |
| Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-01 07:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-18 18:16 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-01 07:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-23 12:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 15:45:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x7b041e… |
| 10-28 15:45:50 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x7b041e… |
| 10-28 15:45:50 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x7b041e… |
| 10-28 15:44:43 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xd9c187… |
| 10-28 15:44:43 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xd9c187… |
| 10-27 07:17:41 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x01cde9… |
| 10-27 07:17:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x01cde9… |
| 10-26 17:26:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x23da4c… |
| 10-26 17:26:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x23da4c… |
| 10-23 12:03:33 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x2f514f… |
| 10-23 12:03:33 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2f514f… |
| 10-23 12:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2f514f… |
| 10-23 09:33:15 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc895b6… |
| 10-23 09:33:15 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc895b6… |
| 10-11 18:00:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x137866… |
| 10-11 18:00:00 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x137866… |
| 10-11 13:54:09 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x567c66… |
| 10-11 13:54:09 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x567c66… |
| 10-11 13:53:54 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x0aea5b… |
| 10-11 13:53:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0aea5b… |
| 10-11 13:53:46 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4cf1af… |
| 10-11 13:53:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4cf1af… |
| 10-01 07:50:02 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x6705cd… |
| 10-01 07:50:02 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x6705cd… |
| 10-01 07:39:35 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x967fcd… |
| 10-01 07:39:35 | Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x967fcd… |
| 09-28 16:04:56 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x28e08a… |
| 09-28 16:04:56 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x28e08a… |
| 09-25 14:42:26 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xcc7873… |
| 09-25 14:42:26 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0xcc7873… |
| 09-25 00:24:29 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x81b1a1… |
| 09-25 00:24:29 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x81b1a1… |
| 09-24 20:37:57 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc1bca6… |
| 09-24 20:37:57 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc1bca6… |
| 09-24 20:36:17 | (anonymous) 0xc34f…a984 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x38edc8… |
| 09-24 20:36:17 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x38edc8… |
| 09-24 20:36:15 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x559fa4… |
| 09-24 20:36:15 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x58ce86… |
| 09-24 20:36:15 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x559fa4… |
| 09-24 20:36:15 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x58ce86… |
| 09-24 20:36:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x559fa4… |
| 09-24 20:36:03 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xd8196f… |
| 09-24 20:36:03 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xd8196f… |
| 09-24 20:36:03 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x83f605… |
| 09-24 20:36:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x83f605… |
| 09-24 20:36:03 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x83f605… |
| 09-21 12:13:59 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc7f35e… |
| 09-21 12:13:59 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc7f35e… |
| 09-21 12:13:57 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x3ad48c… |
| 09-21 12:13:57 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x3ad48c… |
| 09-21 12:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0xe38031… |
| 09-21 12:13:57 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe38031… |
| 09-21 12:13:47 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x929eba… |
| 09-21 12:13:47 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x929eba… |
| 09-21 01:39:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc68e45… |
| 09-21 01:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc68e45… |
| 09-21 01:39:41 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc68e45… |
| 09-21 00:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c0ca6… |
| 09-21 00:48:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c0ca6… |
| 09-20 23:27:07 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x94a621… |
| 09-20 23:27:07 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x94a621… |
| 09-20 23:27:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x94a621… |
| 09-19 15:28:23 | (anonymous) 0x2eb9…d398 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x6e6fbb… |
| 09-19 15:28:23 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x6e6fbb… |
| 09-18 18:16:45 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x862799… |
| 09-18 18:16:45 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x862799… |
| 09-18 18:16:45 | Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x862799… |
| 09-18 18:16:45 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x862799… |
| 09-18 18:16:45 | (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | No | BUY | 4 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x862799… |
| 09-18 18:16:45 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x862799… |
| 09-18 17:54:24 | Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | Yes | SELL | 36 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x8910c9… |
| 09-18 17:54:24 | (anonymous) 0x7474…cef7 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8910c9… |
| 09-18 17:54:24 | Joyous-Catalyst 0xcaff…e3ad | Yes | BUY | 167 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x8910c9… |
| 09-18 17:54:24 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x8910c9… |
| 09-18 17:54:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8910c9… |
| 09-18 17:54:24 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8910c9… |
| 09-17 22:20:22 | (anonymous) 0x7474…cef7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdab5fc… |
| 09-17 22:20:22 | (anonymous) 0x2eb9…d398 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdab5fc… |
| 09-17 22:20:21 | (anonymous) 0x7474…cef7 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5065c0… |
| 09-17 22:20:21 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x3a21ce… |
| 09-17 22:20:21 | (anonymous) 0x7474…cef7 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3a21ce… |
| 09-17 22:20:21 | (anonymous) 0x7821…9855 | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x5065c0… |
| 09-17 17:36:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x811d09… |
| 09-17 17:36:36 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xba3aae… |
| 09-17 17:36:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x30897e… |
| 09-17 17:36:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x66249a… |
| 09-17 17:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x2eb9…d398 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x30897e… |
| 09-17 17:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x2490…4ecf | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x811d09… |
| 09-17 17:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x66249a… |
| 09-17 17:36:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xba3aae… |
| 09-17 15:21:22 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x606668… |
| 09-17 15:21:22 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x606668… |
| 09-17 12:22:54 | Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | Yes | SELL | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8988e7… |
| 09-17 12:22:54 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 23 | 95¢ | $22 | 0x8988e7… |
| 09-17 12:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x7f038f… |
| 09-17 12:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x7f038f… |
| 09-17 12:11:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe0b647… |
| 09-17 12:11:12 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe0b647… |
| 09-17 12:11:12 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xe0b647… |
| 09-17 12:11:12 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | BUY | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0xe0b647… |