Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be less than 10,500,000? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$1,884
$63 in 24h
Trades
239
Unique wallets
54
Liquidity
$1,419
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-29
last 10-29 13:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +5.8¢ (top1%: 15% YES on $656 vs crowd: 9% YES on $1.7K)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 25 $72 $924 $852
🐬 Dolphin 11 $70 $176 $106
🐟 Fish 15 $15 $439 $424
🦐 Shrimp 3 $1 — +$1
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 18 $99 $557 $458
🏆 Top 5% 7 $4 $34 $31
✅ Top 10% 1 — $1 $1
Median 1 — $5 $5
Below median 5 $4 $385 $380
⚠️ Bottom 10% 5 $2 $39 $37
🔻 Bottom 5% 6 $12 $39 $28
💀 Bottom 1% 11 $36 $480 $443
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f Yes +840 $61 $61 26 10-25 22:49
(anonymous) 0x6ffa…ebc5 No +359 $330 $330 2 10-19 01:43
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 No +249 $217 $217 10 10-29 13:34
Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd Yes +219 $23 $23 15 10-29 13:34
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 Yes +205 $22 $22 7 10-29 13:33
Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f No +119 $94 $94 1 10-28 05:19
(anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 No +109 $108 $108 6 10-18 13:26
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 No +94 $87 $87 4 10-18 13:20
Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 Yes +87 $5 $5 7 09-22 14:11
Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 No +76 $70 $70 7 09-24 18:55
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 No +71 $64 $72 6 10-26 04:46
(anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f No +70 $69 $69 3 10-18 13:24
(anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 Yes +49 $3 $7 7 10-25 22:49
This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f Yes +40 $7 $7 2 10-29 13:34
Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 No +39 $38 $38 4 10-26 06:57
(anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 No +33 $32 $32 2 10-19 04:31
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf Yes +27 $2 $2 3 10-18 13:20
(anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 No +25 $25 $25 3 09-22 14:11
Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 No +25 $25 $25 2 10-18 13:26
(anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 Yes +20 $2 $3 2 10-26 04:46
This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f No +20 $17 $17 1 10-29 13:34
(anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 Yes +20 $2 $2 1 10-25 22:49
(anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 Yes +20 $2 $2 1 10-18 12:52
(anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 No +20 $18 $18 1 10-25 22:49
(anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 No +20 $18 $18 1 10-25 22:49
(anonymous) 0xae2a…384d No +20 $20 $20 2 09-21 01:29
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad No +20 $20 $20 2 09-23 12:26
(anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 No +20 $19 $19 1 10-18 19:06
(anonymous) 0xc29e…3068 No +17 $17 $17 1 09-01 01:42
Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 No +12 $11 $11 1 10-26 06:57
Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d No +12 $12 $12 2 10-24 08:32
(anonymous) 0x7a55…9e6b Yes +11 $1 $1 1 10-14 04:13
(anonymous) 0x8fab…cb94 No +10 $10 $10 1 09-24 18:55
(anonymous) 0x8fab…cb94 Yes +10 $1 $1 1 09-24 18:55
Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 Yes +10 $1 $1 1 10-14 14:38
Dismal-Moustache 0xa99c…08b4 No +10 $9 $9 1 10-14 14:38
Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd No +10 $10 $10 1 09-22 14:11
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e No +10 $10 $10 1 10-18 13:20
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 No +6 $5 $5 3 09-21 15:27
Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd No +5 $5 $5 1 09-21 01:32
(anonymous) 0x6608…a502 Yes +5 $0 $0 1 10-18 13:20
(anonymous) 0x17dd…944c No +5 $5 $5 1 09-23 12:26
Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be Yes +5 $1 $2 3 10-18 19:06
Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be No +5 $4 $4 1 10-14 04:13
(anonymous) 0x35e0…44e0 No +3 $3 $3 1 10-29 07:12