Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 25%-30%?
open
Total volume
$2,610
$247 in 24h
Trades
294
Unique wallets
67
Liquidity
$4,848
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-24
last 10-29 01:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.4¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $369
vs crowd: 19% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 27 | $175 | $1.1K | $931 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $160 | $364 | $204 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $37 | $132 | $94 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 17 | $20 | $350 | $330 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $8 | $74 | $66 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $17 | $17 |
| Median | 3 | $73 | $7 | +$65 |
| Below median | 5 | $25 | $81 | $56 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $19 | $78 | $59 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $47 | $225 | $178 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 19 | $179 | $788 | $608 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +489 | $117 | $117 | 23 | 10-28 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | +468 | $73 | $73 | 2 | 09-21 10:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +312 | $231 | $231 | 14 | 10-28 18:35 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +177 | $139 | $139 | 16 | 10-05 14:58 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +100 | $81 | $81 | 4 | 09-19 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +60 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 10-07 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +60 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 10-07 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +48 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 10-10 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +48 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 10-10 12:28 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +47 | $34 | $124 | 10 | 10-28 18:35 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +46 | $33 | $33 | 5 | 09-14 21:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +42 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 10-29 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-28 14:47 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +40 | $29 | $30 | 4 | 10-28 14:47 |
| Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-29 18:45 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +40 | $11 | $12 | 4 | 10-28 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 09-19 14:41 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-28 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 10-28 14:47 |
| Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | +39 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 09-14 21:01 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +33 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 10-28 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +25 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 09-14 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-29 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +22 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-29 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +20 | $17 | $18 | 2 | 09-22 23:00 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-28 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-19 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-28 14:47 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 18:02 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-28 14:47 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-24 11:35 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 09-03 09:04 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-26 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-28 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | Yes | +19 | $6 | $12 | 4 | 10-22 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | No | +19 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-22 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a09…f07a | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 09-13 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x12d9…1a06 | Yes | +18 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 10-29 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x12d9…1a06 | No | +18 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-28 14:47 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +18 | $2 | $6 | 5 | 09-03 09:05 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-29 01:01 |
| Ripe-Put 0x7b18…efae | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 09-03 09:05 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +12 | $12 | $185 | 18 | 10-10 15:52 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +12 | $2 | $16 | 7 | 10-09 15:49 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 09-03 09:05 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-14 21:01 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-12 15:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | No | +9 | $7 | $53 | 4 | 10-05 08:41 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-18 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-20 15:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 01:54:50 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x2bbf2b… |
| 10-29 01:54:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x2bbf2b… |
| 10-29 01:54:50 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xd4c92c… |
| 10-29 01:54:50 | (anonymous) 0x12d9…1a06 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xd4c92c… |
| 10-28 18:35:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x858def… |
| 10-28 18:35:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 79¢ | $32 | 0x858def… |
| 10-28 18:35:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x858def… |
| 10-28 18:18:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x6dd34f… |
| 10-28 18:18:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x6dd34f… |
| 10-28 14:47:41 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 67¢ | $0 | 0x0165c3… |
| 10-28 14:47:41 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 0 | 67¢ | $0 | 0x0165c3… |
| 10-28 14:47:40 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x059bb0… |
| 10-28 14:47:40 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x059bb0… |
| 10-28 14:47:40 | (anonymous) 0x12d9…1a06 | No | BUY | 18 | 76¢ | $13 | 0x63509c… |
| 10-28 14:47:40 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x63509c… |
| 10-28 14:47:38 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x30bfbd… |
| 10-28 14:47:38 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xbe201d… |
| 10-28 14:47:38 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xcad4db… |
| 10-28 14:47:38 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xe6597f… |
| 10-28 14:47:38 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xbe201d… |
| 10-28 14:47:38 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 40 | 76¢ | $31 | 0xcad4db… |
| 10-28 14:47:38 | (anonymous) 0x12d9…1a06 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xcad4db… |
| 10-28 14:47:38 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xe6597f… |
| 10-28 14:47:38 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xe6597f… |
| 10-28 14:47:38 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x30bfbd… |
| 10-28 14:47:37 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x323354… |
| 10-28 14:47:37 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x323354… |
| 10-28 14:47:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 25¢ | $11 | 0xfec5a1… |
| 10-28 14:47:37 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xfec5a1… |
| 10-28 14:47:37 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x323354… |
| 10-28 14:47:37 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xfec5a1… |
| 10-28 14:47:37 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xfec5a1… |
| 10-28 08:17:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xf9aef5… |
| 10-28 08:17:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xf9aef5… |
| 10-26 22:49:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x5cadc4… |
| 10-26 22:49:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x5cadc4… |
| 10-26 18:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xcfd8ae… |
| 10-26 18:02:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xcfd8ae… |
| 10-26 18:02:48 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x1e6a64… |
| 10-26 18:02:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xaab7e2… |
| 10-26 18:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x1e6a64… |
| 10-26 18:02:48 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xaab7e2… |
| 10-23 16:46:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x3fa110… |
| 10-23 16:46:03 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0x3fa110… |
| 10-23 16:45:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 2 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x1638ef… |
| 10-23 16:45:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x1638ef… |
| 10-23 16:45:57 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 18 | 73¢ | $13 | 0x436ebf… |
| 10-23 16:45:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x436ebf… |
| 10-22 22:17:33 | (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x04ea63… |
| 10-22 22:17:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $0 | 0x04ea63… |
| 10-22 22:17:24 | (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | No | BUY | 19 | 73¢ | $14 | 0x27e4d3… |
| 10-22 22:17:24 | (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xcbb7d0… |
| 10-22 22:17:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xcbb7d0… |
| 10-22 22:17:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 19 | 73¢ | $14 | 0x27e4d3… |
| 10-22 15:21:23 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | SELL | 0 | 70¢ | $0 | 0x08d973… |
| 10-22 15:21:23 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x08d973… |
| 10-22 15:10:36 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | BUY | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x24e98b… |
| 10-22 15:10:36 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x24e98b… |
| 10-22 15:10:35 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x042137… |
| 10-22 15:10:35 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x042137… |
| 10-22 15:10:35 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x042137… |
| 10-22 15:10:35 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xeaded2… |
| 10-22 15:10:35 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xeaded2… |
| 10-10 15:52:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 72¢ | $9 | 0x584fb0… |
| 10-10 15:52:16 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 12 | 72¢ | $9 | 0x584fb0… |
| 10-10 13:19:09 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 12 | 72¢ | $9 | 0x95e800… |
| 10-10 13:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 12 | 72¢ | $9 | 0x95e800… |
| 10-10 12:29:18 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xfc47ed… |
| 10-10 12:29:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xfc47ed… |
| 10-10 12:28:24 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x8d5e9d… |
| 10-10 12:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x8d5e9d… |
| 10-10 12:28:22 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x3ccfbf… |
| 10-10 12:28:22 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x3ccfbf… |
| 10-09 21:30:34 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x59dcf4… |
| 10-09 21:30:34 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x59dcf4… |
| 10-09 21:30:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 26¢ | $16 | 0x59dcf4… |
| 10-09 17:43:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xf8c576… |
| 10-09 17:43:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xf8c576… |
| 10-09 15:49:04 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0x872645… |
| 10-09 15:49:04 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x872645… |
| 10-09 14:18:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x3dd41c… |
| 10-09 14:18:37 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x3dd41c… |
| 10-09 14:18:34 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x7e58d1… |
| 10-09 14:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x7e58d1… |
| 10-09 11:17:55 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x6aa0b4… |
| 10-09 11:17:55 | (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x6aa0b4… |
| 10-09 09:17:13 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xbecbe2… |
| 10-09 09:17:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xbecbe2… |
| 10-09 09:17:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xbecbe2… |
| 10-09 08:32:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x24e221… |
| 10-09 08:32:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x24e221… |
| 10-08 20:21:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 73¢ | $29 | 0xb695e8… |
| 10-08 20:21:45 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0xb695e8… |
| 10-08 20:21:45 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0xb695e8… |
| 10-07 07:47:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x058dbf… |
| 10-07 07:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xd66a94… |
| 10-07 07:47:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0xd66a94… |
| 10-07 07:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x058dbf… |
| 10-06 18:03:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xa147b2… |
| 10-06 18:03:41 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xa147b2… |