Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 0%-20%?
open
Total volume
$1,717
$40 in 24h
Trades
156
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$12,603
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-27
last 10-29 19:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $412
vs crowd: 11% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $100 | $389 | $289 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $28 | $751 | $723 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $11 | $35 | $24 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $5 | — | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 15 | $0 | $412 | $412 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $23 | $73 | $50 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $12 | $12 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $543 | $543 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $11 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $19 | $14 | +$5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $97 | $110 | $14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | +312 | $237 | $848 | 17 | 09-20 10:01 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +299 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 09-12 14:08 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +157 | $22 | $22 | 6 | 09-20 10:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +95 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 10-29 19:15 |
| Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | +80 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 09-20 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | +70 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 09-13 08:44 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +67 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-25 17:57 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +65 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 09-20 00:17 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +64 | $62 | $62 | 4 | 09-23 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 09-13 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 09-12 14:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +45 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 09-20 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | +44 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 08-30 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 09-12 14:08 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-07 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 09-20 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +34 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 10-11 21:18 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-25 17:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 10-11 21:18 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 09-13 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 09-23 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x06da…af33 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-30 06:27 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | +19 | $6 | $9 | 2 | 08-30 06:27 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | +16 | $5 | $9 | 4 | 08-29 06:52 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 08-29 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1d5…5078 | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 08-29 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-07 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-07 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x96ef…3d36 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 09-23 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9a6…b3aa | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-27 00:12 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-06 16:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-30 06:24 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-28 06:05 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-30 06:24 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-12 14:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-30 15:17 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-30 06:24 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-06 16:39 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-28 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7969…9fec | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-30 06:27 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-29 06:06 |
| Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-30 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-02 10:15 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +1 | $0 | $36 | 2 | 09-12 14:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 19:15:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fcf02… |
| 10-29 19:15:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fcf02… |
| 10-29 19:15:25 | (anonymous) 0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fcf02… |
| 10-29 07:50:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe34852… |
| 10-29 07:50:04 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe34852… |
| 10-29 07:50:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe34852… |
| 10-25 17:57:15 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd33424… |
| 10-25 17:57:15 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd33424… |
| 10-21 21:15:21 | Ringed-Courage 0x962e…1d75 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xaf34cb… |
| 10-21 21:15:21 | (anonymous) 0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaf34cb… |
| 10-11 21:18:23 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf5fcc… |
| 10-11 21:18:23 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3a2239… |
| 10-11 21:18:23 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xcf5fcc… |
| 10-11 21:18:23 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a2239… |
| 10-07 11:54:04 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x3d8448… |
| 10-07 11:54:04 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d8448… |
| 10-07 11:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d8448… |
| 10-07 11:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d8448… |
| 10-06 16:39:47 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x930f7c… |
| 10-06 16:39:47 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x930f7c… |
| 10-06 16:39:47 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x930f7c… |
| 10-06 16:39:47 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x982c8a… |
| 10-06 16:39:47 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x982c8a… |
| 10-06 16:39:47 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x982c8a… |
| 09-23 01:31:35 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56acda… |
| 09-23 01:31:35 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56acda… |
| 09-23 01:31:29 | (anonymous) 0x96ef…3d36 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x5f0ff5… |
| 09-23 01:31:29 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x8e62a2… |
| 09-23 01:31:29 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e62a2… |
| 09-23 01:31:29 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f0ff5… |
| 09-20 19:10:14 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x345914… |
| 09-20 19:10:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x345914… |
| 09-20 10:01:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45cfa3… |
| 09-20 10:01:31 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x45cfa3… |
| 09-20 10:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45cfa3… |
| 09-20 10:01:30 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x45779f… |
| 09-20 10:01:30 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x45779f… |
| 09-20 10:01:30 | (anonymous) 0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45779f… |
| 09-20 09:25:42 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf6157e… |
| 09-20 09:25:42 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf6157e… |
| 09-20 09:25:40 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xdafc68… |
| 09-20 09:25:40 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xdafc68… |
| 09-20 06:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbf94eb… |
| 09-20 06:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xbf94eb… |
| 09-20 00:17:15 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x65304f… |
| 09-20 00:17:15 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x90f549… |
| 09-20 00:17:15 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xde3d9c… |
| 09-20 00:17:15 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xb66d40… |
| 09-20 00:17:15 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x90f549… |
| 09-20 00:17:15 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x0b5e41… |
| 09-20 00:17:15 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xb66d40… |
| 09-20 00:17:15 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xde3d9c… |
| 09-20 00:17:15 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x0b5e41… |
| 09-20 00:17:15 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x65304f… |
| 09-19 00:25:52 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xf7a6b4… |
| 09-19 00:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xf7a6b4… |
| 09-18 08:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xf63cf8… |
| 09-18 08:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf63cf8… |
| 09-15 15:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x743121… |
| 09-15 15:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x743121… |
| 09-13 23:11:39 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xfc627d… |
| 09-13 23:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xfc627d… |
| 09-13 19:14:21 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe2b7e4… |
| 09-13 19:14:21 | (anonymous) 0x3d8e…8175 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe2b7e4… |
| 09-13 08:44:03 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2b7dda… |
| 09-13 08:44:03 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x42f8b3… |
| 09-13 08:44:03 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x42f8b3… |
| 09-13 08:44:03 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x2b7dda… |
| 09-13 08:44:03 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2b7dda… |
| 09-13 08:44:03 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x42f8b3… |
| 09-12 15:13:54 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8ce213… |
| 09-12 15:13:54 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8ce213… |
| 09-12 14:24:13 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x9caad2… |
| 09-12 14:24:13 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x940b8f… |
| 09-12 14:24:13 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9caad2… |
| 09-12 14:24:13 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x940b8f… |
| 09-12 14:08:18 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 48 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x918a5b… |
| 09-12 14:08:18 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x918a5b… |
| 09-12 14:08:18 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x918a5b… |
| 09-12 14:08:18 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | BUY | 103 | 96¢ | $99 | 0x918a5b… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x3d8e…8175 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 16¢ | $6 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 19 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 299 | 15¢ | $45 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | No | BUY | 521 | 85¢ | $444 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-12 14:08:06 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xb08d94… |
| 09-02 10:15:12 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7097d8… |
| 09-02 10:15:12 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7097d8… |
| 08-30 15:17:12 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0xde877a… |
| 08-30 15:17:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x269025… |
| 08-30 15:17:12 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xde877a… |
| 08-30 15:17:12 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x269025… |
| 08-30 14:51:31 | (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x18e28b… |
| 08-30 14:51:31 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x18e28b… |
| 08-30 14:51:31 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 31 | 91¢ | $28 | 0x18e28b… |