Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 25%-30%?
open
Total volume
$2,265
Trades
282
Unique wallets
80
Liquidity
$2,373
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-27
last 11-08 02:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.0¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $569
vs crowd: 19% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 28 | $154 | $879 | $725 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $171 | $437 | $266 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $16 | $83 | $67 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $10 | $115 | $106 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 19 | $61 | $508 | $447 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $47 | $9 | +$38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $27 | $7 | +$20 |
| Median | 4 | $2 | $35 | $33 |
| Below median | 9 | $11 | $95 | $84 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $11 | $47 | $36 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $64 | $371 | $306 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 20 | $126 | $443 | $316 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +319 | $45 | $45 | 11 | 10-30 19:38 |
| Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | No | +189 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 11-04 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | Yes | +165 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 11-02 13:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +142 | $118 | $118 | 8 | 10-28 06:25 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | +111 | $21 | $21 | 9 | 09-19 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +102 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 11-02 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +102 | $83 | $85 | 7 | 11-03 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +99 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 11-02 13:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +99 | $83 | $83 | 4 | 11-02 13:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +96 | $15 | $16 | 9 | 11-02 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +96 | $82 | $82 | 8 | 11-03 00:39 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +85 | $68 | $104 | 6 | 11-04 05:12 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +79 | $14 | $14 | 9 | 10-27 19:06 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +76 | $62 | $62 | 7 | 09-20 04:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd666…0027 | Yes | +70 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 11-04 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +70 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 11-02 23:27 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +55 | $43 | $43 | 5 | 11-03 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 10-10 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x487b…ac96 | No | +44 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 09-09 12:18 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +42 | $2 | $11 | 9 | 11-04 19:14 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 10-28 17:07 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 10-28 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +38 | $35 | $94 | 4 | 11-02 23:27 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +34 | $31 | $65 | 2 | 10-10 23:51 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +34 | $10 | $20 | 6 | 11-06 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | No | +32 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 11-02 17:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | +27 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 11-02 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | +27 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 11-02 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-11 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-10 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +21 | $1 | $5 | 3 | 11-04 19:14 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +20 | $17 | $18 | 4 | 10-24 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x86ca…16be | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-09 12:18 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-22 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-28 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x1924…dff3 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-10 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 19:14 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-27 19:06 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 09-08 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-10 22:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x45f6…f6a5 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-22 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1924…dff3 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-10 23:49 |
| Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 09-19 05:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x45f6…f6a5 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-22 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-28 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-28 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-28 05:53 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-25 00:33 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-28 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xa410…0e3e | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-28 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x248c…a56b | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 09-19 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-28 05:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-04 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-10 22:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-08 02:01 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-18 21:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb714…18c9 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-19 14:19 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-08 02:01 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-09 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-08 02:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-08 02:01:37 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd33da4… |
| 11-08 02:01:37 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd33da4… |
| 11-08 02:01:37 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd33da4… |
| 11-08 02:01:37 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd33da4… |
| 11-08 02:01:37 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd33da4… |
| 11-06 10:59:27 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4526e… |
| 11-06 10:59:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4526e… |
| 11-04 19:14:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe59619… |
| 11-04 19:14:43 | (anonymous) 0xd666…0027 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe59619… |
| 11-04 19:14:43 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | No | SELL | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0xe59619… |
| 11-04 19:14:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe59619… |
| 11-04 19:14:43 | (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe59619… |
| 11-04 19:14:43 | Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | No | BUY | 189 | 99¢ | $188 | 0xe59619… |
| 11-04 19:14:43 | (anonymous) 0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe59619… |
| 11-04 05:12:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xb673cb… |
| 11-04 05:12:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xb673cb… |
| 11-04 05:12:33 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | No | BUY | 41 | 90¢ | $37 | 0xb673cb… |
| 11-03 00:42:12 | Bland-Lighting 0x48c3…0701 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xc4bb36… |
| 11-03 00:42:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xc4bb36… |
| 11-03 00:42:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 0 | 47¢ | $0 | 0xb96b8e… |
| 11-03 00:42:07 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | SELL | 0 | 47¢ | $0 | 0xb96b8e… |
| 11-03 00:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $0 | 0x3aff94… |
| 11-03 00:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $0 | 0x3aff94… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 21 | 75¢ | $16 | 0x5c005a… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x68b6b9… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xb025e1… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x5b5dd0… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x5b5dd0… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x5b5dd0… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 21 | 75¢ | $16 | 0x5c005a… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | SELL | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0xb025e1… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xb025e1… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xb025e1… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | SELL | 153 | 25¢ | $39 | 0xb025e1… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 33 | 75¢ | $25 | 0xb025e1… |
| 11-02 23:27:15 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x68b6b9… |
| 11-02 17:58:52 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x0839f5… |
| 11-02 17:58:52 | (anonymous) 0xdcd4…a0c1 | No | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x1bc38a… |
| 11-02 17:58:52 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x1bc38a… |
| 11-02 17:58:52 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x0839f5… |
| 11-02 13:23:46 | (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 165 | 20¢ | $32 | 0x70c80a… |
| 11-02 13:23:46 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | No | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x70c80a… |
| 11-02 13:23:46 | (anonymous) 0xd4eb…744f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x52e34b… |
| 11-02 13:23:46 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x70c80a… |
| 11-02 13:23:46 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x70c80a… |
| 11-02 13:23:46 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 60 | 80¢ | $48 | 0x70c80a… |
| 11-02 13:23:46 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x6da309… |
| 11-02 13:23:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 79¢ | $32 | 0x6da309… |
| 11-02 13:23:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x52e34b… |
| 10-31 06:05:03 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x8b7b7b… |
| 10-31 06:05:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x8b7b7b… |
| 10-30 19:38:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 15¢ | $9 | 0xc97266… |
| 10-30 19:38:45 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xc97266… |
| 10-30 19:38:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 36 | 16¢ | $6 | 0xc97266… |
| 10-30 14:05:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xbd247c… |
| 10-30 14:05:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xbd247c… |
| 10-29 10:31:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x62d3cd… |
| 10-29 10:31:59 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x62d3cd… |
| 10-29 09:50:44 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x81b064… |
| 10-29 09:50:44 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x81b064… |
| 10-29 09:50:44 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc85b81… |
| 10-29 09:50:44 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xbbd90b… |
| 10-29 09:50:44 | (anonymous) 0x00f7…57ff | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc85b81… |
| 10-29 09:50:44 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0xbbd90b… |
| 10-28 22:10:17 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x698123… |
| 10-28 22:10:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x698123… |
| 10-28 17:07:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x095775… |
| 10-28 17:07:28 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x095775… |
| 10-28 17:07:28 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xf24d03… |
| 10-28 17:07:28 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 18 | 80¢ | $14 | 0xf24d03… |
| 10-28 17:07:28 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x65f115… |
| 10-28 17:07:28 | (anonymous) 0xa410…0e3e | No | BUY | 18 | 80¢ | $14 | 0x65f115… |
| 10-28 17:07:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x65f115… |
| 10-28 06:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x5f2fe7… |
| 10-28 06:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x43159d… |
| 10-28 06:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 16 | 85¢ | $14 | 0x5f2fe7… |
| 10-28 06:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x0ded…13ad | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x43159d… |
| 10-28 06:24:10 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 12¢ | $9 | 0xfd6c01… |
| 10-28 06:24:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 12¢ | $9 | 0xfd6c01… |
| 10-28 05:57:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6aa339… |
| 10-28 05:57:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x6aa339… |
| 10-28 05:55:52 | (anonymous) 0xdcd4…a0c1 | No | SELL | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xdd9ac5… |
| 10-28 05:55:52 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xdd9ac5… |
| 10-28 05:54:02 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xae2e78… |
| 10-28 05:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xdcd4…a0c1 | No | SELL | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0xae2e78… |
| 10-28 05:54:01 | (anonymous) 0xdcd4…a0c1 | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x7d2208… |
| 10-28 05:54:01 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x7d2208… |
| 10-28 05:53:56 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x6fa6a8… |
| 10-28 05:53:56 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xe72056… |
| 10-28 05:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6fa6a8… |
| 10-28 05:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x894e10… |
| 10-28 05:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0xe72056… |
| 10-28 05:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x894e10… |
| 10-28 05:53:55 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x714ac7… |
| 10-28 05:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x714ac7… |
| 10-27 19:06:05 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xb32baa… |
| 10-27 19:06:05 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xb32baa… |
| 10-27 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x9c3e02… |
| 10-27 19:06:03 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x9c3e02… |
| 10-27 19:06:02 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x7f0fd7… |